Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 2.070854 2.358995 2.672085 3.037480 3.452174 3.908173 4.447641
2025-10-12 1.616632 2.007949 2.470136 3.056029 3.778879 4.641559 5.749683
2025-10-19 1.404097 1.851095 2.410241 3.160516 4.140766 5.378134 7.059622
2025-10-26 1.209695 1.675241 2.285816 3.144396 4.320308 5.874660 8.086862
2025-11-02 1.064838 1.539187 2.187455 3.136939 4.491698 6.355470 9.116516
2025-11-09 0.933030 1.401697 2.066367 3.076187 4.571002 6.702521 9.975757
2025-11-16 0.850810 1.323968 2.018058 3.108372 4.777296 7.235980 11.137046
2025-11-23 0.783137 1.259120 1.979567 3.146851 4.989859 7.788187 12.364387
2025-11-30 0.713216 1.182470 1.913949 3.134066 5.117386 8.215203 13.426772
2025-12-07 0.643557 1.098508 1.827746 3.078081 5.167284 8.518993 14.310777
2025-12-14 0.580349 1.018475 1.739634 3.008940 5.186120 8.768920 15.119558
2025-12-21 0.530804 0.956489 1.675119 2.971939 5.252463 9.097205 16.079026
2025-12-28 0.520929 0.966467 1.739874 3.174446 5.767407 10.256753 18.628936
2026-01-04 0.481301 0.919859 1.703050 3.196981 5.973619 10.912664 20.375702
2026-01-11 0.458739 0.901738 1.714386 3.306068 6.343437 11.885955 22.779584
2026-01-18 0.421620 0.851746 1.661635 3.289223 6.475652 12.435958 24.444159
2026-01-25 0.389692 0.808273 1.616486 3.281426 6.622297 13.022126 26.226209
2026-02-01 0.354790 0.755003 1.546875 3.217909 6.652263 13.385103 27.600751
2026-02-08 0.333860 0.728161 1.526835 3.251559 6.878475 14.147957 29.839523
2026-02-15 0.315443 0.704610 1.511005 3.291788 7.120702 14.961275 32.251343
2026-02-22 0.293633 0.671404 1.471793 3.278422 7.248210 15.549296 34.241355
2026-03-01 0.269906 0.631464 1.414383 3.219889 7.272510 15.922301 35.801816
2026-03-08 0.247295 0.591688 1.353512 3.147601 7.259181 16.212257 37.203626